Sports gambling are often very profitable if you know the strategies typically the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a excellent example of this. I actually analyzed the Western side Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Virginia had the particular edge in the sport. Nonetheless I actually also recognized that there initially were a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on this game. Here is my personal analysis I released prior to the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This video game has all the signals of being one of the greatest games connected with the year, using both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming back again from getting down massive in the final one fourth to winning in overtime.
So what’s the game appearance like this year?
In case this activity were getting played in some sort of fairly neutral field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost due to the fact March. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.
These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, often the added in reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not appear like much, but in a close match-up like this, that extra point can make the big difference between the push and even a loss.
But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers are almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular final 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since 12 eighteen, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points every game in your house, while hitting only quitting 15. seven points each game from home. In case a person did not do the mathematics, that means considering his or her last home loss they already have averaged beating their particular opposing team by way of about thirty four items per game.
Furthermore remarkable, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by simply 13 things per activity at home due to the fact the year 2003.
Wow… how can anyone go against that?
Here’s how…
The majority of those stats ended up built up during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They also have experienced recent games through which they also have only scored 28, 23, 24 points. That activities weren’t against Oh St. or Michigan. https://www.ufabet168.info/ufabet%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%A1%E0%B9%88/ were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
The bottom line is the fact that this is still a new close sport to call up. But the things i look for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no reason to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation will be to lay off this particular game and definitely not gamble at all. There are better video games this weekend break with more simple benefits.
The final score of the game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s edge was not so big that they can could still win soon after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this game, people really serious about wagering saved money they will can offer better work with on coming games.